Saturday, June 7, 2014

Fw: ECB goes negative, launches other measures to avert deflation

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From: "CFA Institute Financial NewsBrief: Asia Pacific Edition" <cfa_ap@smartbrief.com>
Date: Thu, 5 Jun 2014 17:36:52 -0500 (CDT)
To: <mainandwall@yahoo.com>
Subject: ECB goes negative, launches other measures to avert deflation

ECB move diverges from tightening at other central banks | U.S. Fed Beige Book reports widespread moderate growth | Economists have mixed record predicting recession
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June 6, 2014
CFA Institute: Financial NewsBrief - Aisa Pacific Edition
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ECB goes negative, launches other measures to avert deflation
A negative deposit rate of 0.1%, an asset-purchase plan and a €400 billion liquidity channel tied to bank lending are all part of a European Central Bank package designed to avert the threat of deflation in the eurozone. ECB President Mario Draghi said in announcing the measures Thursday that the bank isn't finished, indicating further measures may be in store if needed. Bloomberg (6/5)
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ECB move diverges from tightening at other central banks
The European Central Bank's major moves Thursday to boost liquidity mark a split with its counterparts in the U.S., where the Federal Reserve is steadily reducing its bond buying, and the U.K., where the Bank of England is expected to move up its schedule for a rate boost. The divide is only expected to grow, creating profitable new avenues for investors. Bloomberg (6/5)
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U.S. Fed Beige Book reports widespread moderate growth
Modest to moderate growth was reported in all 12 U.S. Federal Reserve districts in the Fed's latest Beige Book report. Consumer spending was also up in all districts while price pressures remained low, although the real estate market was reported "mixed." CNBC (6/4)
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Economists have mixed record predicting recession
Although U.S. Federal Reserve officials are beginning to express reservations about the health of the nation's economy, few economists are predicting a recession. But how likely is it they're right? Surveys reveal that economists by and large failed to predict the 2008 recession, although about a third of them did -- much higher than the proportion currently voicing such worries. The Wall Street Journal (tiered subscription model)/Real Time Economics blog (6/4)
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Banks, trading houses may be on the hook in China metal investigation
Chinese investigators are examining whether cargoes of metal at the port of Qingdao were used more than once for financing purposes. Trading houses and banks could be in jeopardy if they hold separate titles for the same cargoes. Reuters (6/5)
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As G-7 threatens Russia over Ukraine, Japan calls for better relations
Japan separated itself a bit from the Group of Seven's threat of further sanctions on Russia over the situation in Ukraine, with Prime Minister Shinzo Abe saying Tokyo hoped to maintain healthy relations with Moscow. "I want Russia to be involved in various issues concerning the international community in a constructive manner," Abe said, extending Japan's greater opening to Russia under his government. Reuters (6/5)
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Regulatory Update
U.S. prepares palette of new rules for transparency, high-speed trading
The head of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission is planning a wide range of measures aimed at promoting market transparency and fairness. Mary Jo White's proposals include an "anti-disruptive trading" rule to curb some aggressive short-term tactics by high-frequency traders and a plan to open the books of proprietary trading shops. Reuters (6/5)
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China's Guangdong pursues financial reforms to draw private capital
China's Guangdong province is looking to pull in more private capital with a range of financial reforms. Plans include a restructuring of local financial institutions, including rural and urban commercial banks and rural credit cooperatives. China Daily (Beijing)/Xinhuanet (6/5)
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Australia central bank sees no reason to rein in real estate lending
Citing the mixed record of earlier attempts at wide-ranging policies to curb higher-risk lending in Australia's housing market, a central bank official said the bank sees no need to follow others worldwide down that path. "The rationale for carving out particular bits of the prudential framework under separate governance ... appears to be that supervisors cannot be relied on to discharge their duties with system-level concerns in mind," said Luci Ellis, head of financial stability at the bank. The Sydney Morning Herald (Australia) (6/5)
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Economic Trends & Outlook
German factory orders swing to strong positive growth
With a boost from exports, German factory orders jumped 3.1% in April, more than reversing a surprising 2.8% decline in March and providing a bit of positive news for the eurozone. "We see fairly balanced, robust growth in Germany at the moment," said Alexander Koch, an economist at Raiffeisen Schweiz in Zurich. "There is volatility in the monthly data, but everything points toward ongoing expansion this year." Bloomberg (6/5)
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Average of Americans seeking jobless benefits at 7-year low
A closely watched four-week moving average of Americans applying for initial unemployment benefits fell to a seven-year low of 310,250 at the end of May. The average points to a labor market that is "heading in the right direction," said Ryan Sweet, a senior economist at Moody's Analytics. "The unemployment rate has come down pretty quickly over the last several months, and that may be lifting consumer spirits." Bloomberg (6/5)
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U.S. consumer gauge takes a positive turn
With a strong gain in U.S. consumer assessment of the economic climate for spending, the Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index rose this week to 35.1 from 33.3 a week earlier for its first rise in five weeks. An improving stock market and job outlook also lifted the overall result. "Sentiment is hanging in there as Americans grow more confident about their financial conditions," said Joseph Brusuelas, a Bloomberg senior economist. Bloomberg (6/5)
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South Korea gross national income barely advances in Q1
Growth in South Korea's gross national income in the first quarter slowed from the quarterly growth rate in the previous three periods. The tepid 0.5% gain is "partly attributed to a fall in net factor income from the rest of the world, led by dividend income," a Bank of Korea official said. Meanwhile, growth in gross national product in the latest quarter registered 0.9%. MK.co.kr (South Korea) (6/5)
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Australia swings to trade deficit
Australia posted a trade deficit of AU$122 million for April, reversing a March surplus of AU$902 million. A rise in imports of both capital and consumer goods accounted for the gap, which surprised economists predicting a AU$300 million surplus. MarketWatch (6/5)
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Australian investors shun bank stocks over new capital rules
A dimmer outlook for dividends from Australia's banks under new capital rules has produced an exodus of investors. Their holdings in the nation's three leading banks are now at a six-month low after Australian regulators outlined rules to comply with Basel III requirements. The Sydney Morning Herald (Australia) (6/5)
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Philippines posts strong budget surplus for April
A surge in Philippine revenue collections and a retreat in government spending produced a record government budget surplus in April of 80.852 billion pesos. The total nearly canceled the deficit for the entire first quarter. Business World (Philippines) (6/4)
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Capital Markets & Financial Products
China injections drive down money market rate
With China's central bank flushing money into the banking system, including 40 billion yuan of 28-day repurchase agreements Thursday, the benchmark money-market rate plunged to its lowest level in nearly a month. In all, this week's injections amount to 73 billion yuan so far, according to data from Bloomberg. Bloomberg (6/5)
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China to roll out more electronic savings bonds
China is planning its third and fourth issues of electronic savings bonds for next week. The issues will come as 24 billion yuan of notes with three-year maturities and 16 billion yuan of notes with five-year maturities, both targeting individual investors. China Daily (Beijing)/Xinhuanet (6/5)
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South Korea sees May surge in fund value
The combined value of South Korean stocks, bonds and real estate-related funds climbed to 341.8 trillion won at the end of May, an increase of 8.2 trillion won for the month, according to the Korea Financial Investment Association. Strong inflows into money market funds and funds with overseas exposure helped drive up the net value, as did a bull run on the stock market. Yonhap News Agency (South Korea) (subscription required) (6/5)
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